2025 Year-End Letter

The letter below is also available as a PDF file HERE. January 30, 2026 2025 Annual Letter 2025 was the year of AI, geopolitics, and tariffs—or at least the threat of tariffs. Those three topics have been the main subjects for the first month of 2026 as well. Stock markets Read more

By admin, ago

2024 Year-End Letter

The letter below is also available as a PDF file HERE. February 24, 2025 2024 Annual Letter 2024 felt like 2023. American stock market indices posted strong returns, led by technology, and the bond market posted a small positive return. It also felt a lot like 2021, which was one Read more

By admin, ago

2023 Year-End Letter

The letter below is also available as a PDF file HERE. February 20, 2024 2023 Annual Letter 2023 was far different than 2022 in the stock and bond markets. After one of the worst years in history that saw stock and bond markets tumble in 2022, stock market indices soared Read more

By admin, ago

The last 14 years…

In my 2022 Annual Letter, published earlier this month, I referenced a statement that I made in my 2021 Annual Letter: “The returns from stocks and bonds during the next 13 years are likely to be much lower than during the last 13 years. With interest rates close to zero Read more

By admin, ago

2022 Year-End Letter

The letter below is also available as a more-readable PDF file, HERE. 2022 Annual Letter 2022 was that rare year when both stocks and bonds declined—and declined significantly. The S&P 500 fell 18.1%, with dividends included, and the more tech-heavy Nasdaq dropped about 32%. The bond market, using the Bloomberg U.S. Read more

By admin, ago

2021 Year-End Letter

This letter is also available as a PDF, HERE. 2021 Annual Letter “In economics, you always want to ask, ‘And then what?’” —Warren Buffett If on January 1, 2020, someone had told you that the world was about to experience a global pandemic that would close borders and businesses—and continue Read more

By admin, ago

2020 Year-End Letter

This letter is also available as a PDF, HERE. January 26, 2021 2020 Annual Letter “It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of Read more

By admin, ago

Lucky Problems

As I was lying in bed this week trying to get over jet lag, I realized that the jet lag “problem” I was having was a lucky problem. Lucky problems are solvable problems. With a little time and effort, the problem goes away, with no lasting effect to think about Read more

By admin, ago